Alex Jackson, an independent analyst on security, political issues in the Caspian region, has low expectations from the new Nagorno-Karabakh summit which will take place on 23-24 January between the presidents of Azerbaijan and Armenia, APA’s US correspondent reports.
Mr. Jackson reminds that, the last meeting between the two presidents was in June in Kazan where there were high hopes in advance, but the results didn’t prove themselves.
The analyst agrees with the President Ilham Aliyev’s latest speech where he said that this linguistic development was an encouraging step but one which needed further concrete action.
In the meanwhile, Mr. Jackson adds, the upcoming summit, in the Russian city of Sochi, is around the ninth which Medvedev has hosted since becoming President in 2008.
According to Mr. Jackson, with the Armenian parliamentary elections coming up in May, nobody in Yerevan wants to make any unpopular moves on Karabakh.
The second reason is that Medvedev’s own term in the Kremlin runs out with the elections in March, when Vladimir Putin is universally assumed to return to the presidency.
“Putin has never expressed much interest in Karabakh and instinctively prefers pressure to dialogue, so under his watch, trilateral summits will almost certainly become less frequent”, he adds.
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