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May 25th
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TURKEY MAY ESTABLISH RELATIONS WITH ARMENIA WITHOUT AGREEMENT OF THE "GENOCIDE" PROBLEM?

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"Having de-facto multi polar economic relations, Turkey and Armenia will more likely to postpone the genocide problem in order to use the present chance and to settle challenges de jure," Azerbaijani expert Tofig Abbasov said.

Settling the Armenian-Turkish ties can not run into doubt the fact of "genocide" of the Armenians, said Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian delivering a speech at the International Diplomatic Academy in France.

Turkey and Armenia is trying to normalize relations, which were interrupted in 1993. Turkish President Abdullah Gul accepted the proposal of Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan to visit Armenia to attend the football match between Armenia and Turkey on Sept. 6 last year. After this visit the sides are continuing diplomatic efforts to normalize relations between the two countries.

The reasons for the diplomatic gap in 1993 were Yerevan's anti Turkish campaign-related to claims of the Armenians to recognise the so-called "genocide", as well as occupation of 20 per cent territories of Azerbaijan and territorial claims in the Turkish Anatolia.

Armenia and the Armenian lobby claim that Turkey's predecessor the Ottoman Empire has committed genocide against Armenians living in Anatolia in 1915. Armenians want this fact to be recognized and enhancing the promotion of the so-called "genocide" in the world. Some parliaments have already recognized the genocide. The Armenian lobby is expected to enhance its activity in other parliaments, especially in the U.S. Congress due to the anniversary of the "genocide".

On the eve of the U.S. President's visit to Turkey, scheduled for April, four congressmen sent a letter to Barack Obama. The letter urged Obama to retain commitment to the recognition of "genocide" of Armenians in 1915.

According to political scientists, Turkey may establish relations with Armenia without a final agreement on the "genocide", but only in order to gain time to successfully tackle this problem in the future.

The discussion of Armenian "genocide" in the U.S. is a subject to blackmail and pressure on Turkey, as the recognition of this issue will be a blow to Turkey's foreign policy, said Turkish political scientist Sinan Ogan.

"Turkey can improve relations with Armenia without preliminary agreement on the "genocide" in order to solve this problem in the future. For Turkey it will be easier to agree with a partner," Turksam Center for Strategic Studies Director Ogan told Trend News.

According to Abbasov, Turkey has advantage and is able to block the "genocide" issue. Then, Armenia will have to agree. Yerevan does not have an alternative, he said.

"Armenia does not posses the potential to dictate conditions to Turkey on stage-by-stage settlement of problems, including the "genocide", Media-Holding Lider Analytical Group expert Abbasov told Trend News.

Even if there would be favorable prerequisites for tackling of the issue, it will be pushed shut. The "genocide" issue is too tough and protracted and for this reason it can not find a rapid resolution," Abbasov added.

According to Armenian political scientist Tevan Pogosian, there are two different issues historical truth and the problem of relations between the two countries which are neighbours and need to improve the relationship for the sake of future prosperity and peaceful coexistence with each other.

"I do not think that one issue could be a problem to solve another," Armenian International Social Development Centre Pogosian told Trend News.

Armenia stated repeatedly that it was ready to improve the relations and establish diplomatic ties without any preliminary terms.

'The improvement of relations with Turkey is a matter of the future and the genocide problem is a matter of the past," Pogosian added.

 

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