
The United Nations General Assembly’s upcoming 64th session is going to have two Nagorno-Karabakh conflict related issues, Information center of the UN
Those issues include “Protracted conflicts in the GUAM area and their Implications for International Peace, Security and Development” and “The Situation in the Occupied Territories of Azerbaijan,” the centre said.
According to the UN HQ information office, these items have not yet been considered by the General Assembly at its 63rd session and remain on the agenda. Their inclusion in the provisional agenda of the 64th session is subject to any action the Assembly may take on it at its 63rd session. The HQ information office noted that the exact time when these resolution projects are to be discussed during at GA session will be specified in late September.
A New York based “Mediators beyond Borders” organization’s analyst Tom Fiutak said the role of the UN mechanisms in the process of solving frozen conflicts in South Caucasus, including Nagorno-Karabakh, “provide a legitimate arena to address them.” He believes that “The question is not how much role the UN should play in solving those conflicts, but when.”
“Confronting „frozen“ or locked conflicts has more to do with understanding the dynamics of parties while judging correctly the ability of the arena to contain the emotional, psychological, and political results of the interaction of the conflicting parties. Every action will cause a reaction,” the analyst added.
He also said that “There is always a danger of prematurely entering into the conflict when the chances of a supportive and positive outcome are very low.”
According to Mr. Fiutak, predicting dynamics of such a complex conflict as for example Nagorno-Karabakh, “takes a larger view than often either or all the parties possess. The UN therefore, needs to sustain a presence and legitimacy so that at the appropriate time, their intervention will have the greatest chance of a positive and durable result.”
Speaking on why the conflicts in South Caucasus area remain frozen, the expert adds, that “Things are frozen because there is some advantage to the parties to keep things frozen. The final judgment to intervene or not to intervene must be based on one’s belief that the process of thawing and the resulting „unfrozen“ state is more desirable than the current condition.”
ARMENIA IS UNDER POLITICAL PRESSURE
Azerbaijani political scientists say the discussion of two issues on the Nagorno-Karabakh at the 64th UN General Assembly is a continuation of the diplomatic pressure on Armenia.
“Discussions will be useful as a means of exerting pressure on Armenia. After the recent discussions at the UN on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Armenia’s mood is not the same. It feels isolated,” political expert Rasim Musabayov said.
He said continuation of the diplomatic pressure on Armenia is too important for Azerbaijan. “Although the UN resolutions will not make Armenia liberate the occupied territories, it will constantly feel such pressure,” Musabayov said.
The 64th UN General Assembly will debate two issues on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.
Political expert Zardusht Alizade said discussions on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict at the UN General Assembly is a positive factor.
“But discussions are not enough to solve the problem. The discussions must be accompanied by effective measures to build army, peaceful diplomacy and effective information war. These measures should be implemented in its entirety. The most important of these is to continue to build a democratic society in Azerbaijan capable to solve problems of all citizens,” Alizade said.
He said the steps taken towards the restoration of Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity yield fruits. “If the problem cannot be solved by means of pressure, at least it is constantly debated in society. Aggressor Armenia always feels Azerbaijan’s intensification on the diplomatic arena,” Alizade said.
Regarding
Political expert Vafa Guluzadeh does not expect progress after the UN discussions on the Nagorno-Karabakh to resolve the issue. “The UN four resolutions on this issue remain on paper. Even after the discussions UN takes any decision, no steps will be taken to implement it,” Guluzade said.
He believes Armenia is a Russian “province” and does not exist as the state. “As the UN fears Russia, it does not pass decisions on this country. Therefore, we should wait,” the political analyst said
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