The negotiations between Armenia and Turkey are still stalled, Analyst for Eurasia of the US global intelligence company Srategic Forecasting, Inc. (STRATFOR) Marko Papic told.
“Eventually it is definitely in Turkish interests to make a deal with Armenia. Georgia is obviously locked down for the foreseeable future by Russia. Turkey can have relations with Georgia, but on Moscow’s
terms. But Turkey wants access to the Caspian Sea, because only that way can it begin to restore its traditional sphere of influence in Central Asia. For that, it needs a land-bridge across the Caucasus to Baku and therein lies the strategic worth of Armenian-Turkish relations,” — the expert said.
According to him, all of this is for nothing if Turkey ruins its relationship with Azerbaijan while negotiating with Armenia. "Armenia is completely useless to Turkey, from a geopolitical perspective, if its alliance with Baku is weakened. Turkey does not need Armenia on its own, it needs it as a land-bridge to Azerbaijan. Therefore, the key to Turkish-Armenian reconciliation remains the Nagorno Kharabakh issue,"- said Papic.
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